Yesterday, Yougov released their MRP poll for the December election and it predicts that Cowbridge and the Vale of Glamorgan will likely remain as a conservative seat.

This is the only poll that correctly predicted the likelihood of a hung parliament in the 2017 general election.

The survey questioned 100,000 people over the course of seven days and adapted answers to account for age, gender, voting history and local political circumstances in individual constituencies.

According to the Yougov MRP poll these are the current predictions for the Vale of Glamorgan:

Conservatives - Est 51% (Low 43% - High - 59%)

Labour - Est 39% (Low - 31% vs. High - 47%)

Green - Est 7% (Low 3% - High - 13%)

Liberal Democrats - 0% - Not standing

Brexit Party - 0% - Not standing

Plaid Cymru - 0% - Not standing

Other - Est 2% (Low 0% - High - 6%)

If the prediction is correct, this would be an increase in Conservative support from the 2017 results of 47.5%.

This would mean Alun Cairns would maintain his position as MP for the Vale of Glamorgan.

Wales, more generally, is predicted to lose Labour seats gained in the previous election. YouGov's MRP poll suggest the Headline seats for Wales will be: Lab 24 (down from 28), Con 12 (up from 8), Plaid Cymru 4 (the same).

Find out more from the MRP poll by clicking the red button below.